Before everyone gets all giddy in the wake of Obama's winning performance in last night's debate and starts booking trips to the multi-culti inaugural, it might be useful to read this recent report on how race may affect the voting:
More than a third of all white Democrats and independents — voters Obama can't win the White House without — agreed with at least one negative adjective about blacks, according to the survey, and they are significantly less likely to vote for Obama than those who don't have such views.
These are white Democrats we're talking about. Democrats. Can you imagine the numbers if they polled Republicans? According to the study, conducted with Stanford University, if the election is as close as it was in 2004, the racist vote will be large enough to give the election to John "That Guy" McCain.
I hope the study is wrong, but it looks as if their data is correct. Typically, high polling numbers for a Black candidate, like Obama now has, have always been viewed with some skepticism. A white voter, it was assumed, wouldn't want to reveal to a pollster any opposition to a black candidate, afraid it would make the voter appear racist. This s0-called Bradley effect explains the difference between a black candidates high poll numbers and a much narrower edge -- or outright loss -- on election day. Supposedly, this latest Obama poll took that phenomenon into consideration. Again, I hope they're wrong:
The AP-Yahoo News poll used the unique methodology of Knowledge Networks, a Menlo Park, Calif., firm that interviews people online after randomly selecting and screening them over telephone. Numerous studies have shown that people are more likely to report embarrassing behavior and unpopular opinions when answering questions on a computer rather than talking to a stranger.
Given a choice of several positive and negative adjectives that might describe blacks, 20 percent of all whites said the word "violent" strongly applied. Among other words, 22 percent agreed with "boastful," 29 percent "complaining," 13 percent "lazy" and 11 percent "irresponsible." When asked about positive adjectives, whites were more likely to stay on the fence than give a strongly positive assessment.
Among white Democrats, one third cited a negative adjective and, of those, 58 percent said they planned to back Obama.
The poll sought to measure latent prejudices among whites by asking about factors contributing to the state of black America. One finding: More than a quarter of white Democrats agree that "if blacks would only try harder, they could be just as well off as whites."
Those who agreed with that statement were much less likely to back Obama than those who didn't.
The best appeal to address this issue is direct confrontation. Check out this very badass speech by AFL-CIO Secretary-Treasurer Richard Trumka to union members telling them to get over their prejudice against blacks and vote for the guy who will best help their interests: